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Epi Rankings: Acc By The Numbers

Thursday, September 11, 2008 11:41am
By: Accsports Staff

March 21, 2006

The Efficient Production Index awards points for positive acts on the court and subtracts for negative acts. It also factors in minutes played, giving reserves a chance to measure their production against starters, but it doesn't account for one of those characteristics coaches love -- intangibles.

The formula uses only statistics from ACC games, making the level of competition as equal as possible. Players receive one EPI point for every steal, blocked shot and rebound and two EPI points for every point scored. (After all, scoring is still the bottom line.) Assists are multiplied by 1.7 and added into the equation. EPI points are subtracted for each turnover and missed shot. Fouls are multiplied by .7 (recognizing that not all fouls are bad) and subtracted. Missed free throws are multiplied by 1.5 and subtracted. The total then is divided by minutes played.

Previous EPI winners include Todd Fuller of N.C. State (1996), Tim Duncan of Wake Forest (1997), Antawn Jamison of UNC (1998), Elton Brand of Duke (1999), Darius Songaila of Wake Forest (2000), Joseph Forte of UNC (2001), Carlos Boozer of Duke (2002), Josh Howard of Wake Forest (2003), Rashad McCants of UNC (2004) and Sean May of UNC (2005). All but Songaila (third-team) was a first-team All-ACC selection in the year he received the top EPI ranking.

Here are the final 2005-06 EPI ratings for all ACC players who played more than 100 minutes in conference games this season:

No. Player, School EPI Rating
Comment

  1. J.J. Redick, Duke 1.379
    29.4 ppg in ACC games; doesn't miss (91.1%) from line

  2. Shelden Williams, Duke 1.378
    Four straight years in top six; difficult to find negatives

  3. Tyler Hansbrough, UNC 1.272
    Last season, UNC rookie Marvin Williams was No. 2

  4. Reyshawn Terry, UNC 1.131
    Didn't play enough minutes to qualify in first two years

  5. Al Thornton, FSU 1.075
    2005 EPI (No. 11) forecast this, with more playing time

  6. Craig Smith, BC 1.058
    Rare star who scores, rebounds and passes/handles well

  7. Alexander Johnson, FSU 1.037
    Almost doubled points, rebounds from 2004-05 (70th)

  8. Eric Williams, WF 1.021
    Same rank as junior; foul shooting killed chance to rise

  9. Danny Green, UNC .985
    Projected numbers/32 mpg: 14.1 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.3 bpg

  10. Justin Gray, WF .954
    38.3% on three-pointers; next Deacon not until No. 40

  11. Ra'Sean Dickey, GT .937
    Impressive: 60 percent from field, 73 percent from line

  12. Robert Hite, Miami .917
    42% on threes (30% in 2005); adds 5.4 rebounds/game

  13. Sean Singletary, UVa .915
    Up from No. 45 in 2005; scoring jumped by seven ppg

  14. Cedric Simmons, NCSU .905
    No. 48 last season; scoring up 7.4 ppg; lots of blocks

  15. Guillermo Diaz, Miami .900
    Down from No. 9; fewer boards, inaccurate shooting

  16. Nik Caner-Medley, Md. .886
    ACC statistics are almost exact replicas of last season

  17. David Noel, UNC .872
    Jump from No. 56; top 11 in assists, FG%, rebounding

  18. Akin Akingbala, Clem. .871
    Points up 8.3, rebounds up 4.7; ranked 75th in 2005

  19. J.R. Reynolds, UVa .868
    Jump from No. 85; points up 8.6, FG shooting up 10%

  20. Jared Dudley, BC .867
    Top 12 in ppg, rpg, assists/turnovers (3.2/1.8), minutes

  21. Cam Bennerman, NCSU .864
    50% shooter; Pack missed his offense down stretch

  22. Chris McCray, Md. .856
    Down from No. 16; two-way stud felled by academics

  23. Jamon Gordon, VT .844
    Strong 6.4 rpg from guard; top 10 for FG%, apg, spg

  24. Zabian Dowdell, VT .843
    Desirable 3.8 apg, 3.4 rpg to go with 15.9 scoring rate

  25. Shawan Robinson, Clem. .833
    No. 61 last year; awesome 90% from charity stripe

  26. Mike Jones, Md. .827
    EPI (No. 22-2005) again rewards his points per minute

  27. Ekene Ibekwe, Md. .810
    Rebounds (6.8), FG% (47.7) pretty low for post player

  28. Anthony Morrow, GT .809
    No. 59 last season; +10 ppg and +10% beyond arc

  29. Josh McRoberts, Duke .801
    All numbers dropped in ACC versus non-conference

  30. A.D. Vassallo, VT .781
    Prorated to 32 mpg, would average 12.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg

  31. Andrew Brackman, NCSU .778
    Showed very little improvement after good first year

  32. Isaiah Swann, FSU .756
    Skyrocketed from No. 78; doubled 2005 assists total

  33. Coleman Collins, VT .741
    Last year, much better within ACC; this year, reversal

  34. Ilian Evtimov, NCSU .735
    Strange progression: No. 28 as soph, No. 58 as junior

  35. James Gist, Md. .731
    Shot 51% from field; also 4.9 rebounds and 24 blocks

  36. Jeremis Smith, GT .708
    No. 79 last year; much better in non-ACC tilts, though

  37. Tyrese Rice, BC .705
    EPI rookie w/Hansbrough, Green, McRoberts, Vassallo

  38. Engin Atsur, NCSU .703
    Solid all-around guard; not spectacular in any category

  39. Anthony Harris, Miami .702
    Ouch: Assists fell, turnovers rose compared with 2005

  40. Trent Strickland, WF .698
    13.9 ppg/8.1 rpg vs. non-conference; 11.2/5.3 vs. ACC

  41. Lewis Clinch, GT .696
    Freshman shot 51% on three-pointers in league action

  42. Vernon Hamilton, Clem. .692
    Nice jump from last year (No. 86); 53% on FTs hurt

  43. Gavin Grant, NCSU .691
    Key per-minute averages not much better than 2005

  44. Anthony King, Miami .691
    Added much-needed offense to his game; 56% on FG

  45. Quentin Thomas, UNC .683
    Prorated to 32 mpg, would average 7.5 assists/game

  46. Zam Fredrick, GT .674
    PG experiment proved difficult; 3.1 turnovers a game

  47. Cliff Hammonds, Clem. .666
    Needs to stop shooting threes: 28.2% on 78 attempts

  48. DeMarcus Nelson, Duke .660
    Post-injury, closed with six straight double-digit points

  49. Tony Bethel, NCSU .648
    Fell from No. 30; converted only 31.7% two-pointers

  50. Marcus Ginyard, UNC .630
    Freshman was solid but unspectacular; good defender

Others: 51. Sean Marshall, BC (.619); 52. Louis Hinnant, BC (.618); 53. Cameron Stanley, WF (.616); 54. Jason Rich, FSU (.613); 55. Sean Dockery, Duke (.609); 56. Jason Cain, UVa (.605); 57. Travis Garrison, Md. (.600); 58. Parrish Brown, Md. (.593); 59. K.C. Rivers, Clem. (.592); 59. Adrian Joseph, UVa (.592); 61. Bobby Frasor, UNC (.590); 62. Lee Melchionni, Duke (.585); 62. Ralph Mims, FSU (.585); 64. Wes Miller, UNC (.580); 65. Harvey Hale, WF (.560); 66. D. J. Strawberry, Md. (.559); 67. Akida McLain, BC (.551); 68. Deron Washington, VT (.550); 69. Andrew Wilson, FSU (.533); 70. Julius Powell, Clem. (.523).

71. Wynton Witherspoon, VT (.520); 72. Todd Galloway, FSU (.510); 73. Mamadi Diane, UVa (.508); 74. Michael Drum, WF (.499); 75. Mario West, GT (.477); 76. Sam Perry, Clem. (.465); 76. Theodis Tarver, GT (.465); 76. Gary Hamilton, Miami (.465); 79. Raymond Hicks, Miami (.457); 80. Steve Allen, Clem. (.449); 81. D'Andre Bell, GT (.445); 82. T.J. Bannister, UVa (.435); 83. Kyle Visser, WF (.433); 83. Kevin Swinton, WF (.433); 85. Greg Paulus, Duke (.430); 86. Laurynas Mikalauskas, UVa (.425); 87. Chris Ellis, WF (.424); 88. John Oates, BC (.423); 89. Diego Romero, FSU (.420); 90. Byron Sanders, UNC (.398).

91. Denis Clemente, Miami (.393); 92. Will Bowers, Md. (.363); 93. Sterling Ledbetter, Md. (.347); 94. Sean Williams, BC (.338); 95. Jerel Allen, FSU (.270); 96. Marcus Sailes, VT (.260); 97. Raymond Sykes, Clem. (.257); 98. Chris Tucker, VT (.197); 99. Jimmy Graham, Miami (.189); 100. Tunji Soroye, UVa (.168); 101. Brian Asbury, Miami (.106).

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